Welterweight
3 Rounds
Siyar Bahadurzada won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 14, 2012·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Style matchupPaulo Thiago: Submission grapplervsSiyar Bahadurzada: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Paulo Thiago wins(52.6%)
Actual result: Siyar Bahadurzada wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paulo Thiago enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Paulo Thiago has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Paulo Thiago
Red Corner
VS
Siyar Bahadurzada
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
45
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paulo ThiagoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Nov 12W
vs Michel Prazeres · May 13L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Nov 13L
vs Gasan Umalatov · May 14L
vs Sean Spencer · Sep 14Siyar BahadurzadaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Mar 16W
KOvs Rob Wilkinson · Sep 17W
KOvs Luan Chagas · Apr 18L
vs Curtis Millender · Dec 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paulo ThiagoMetricSiyar Bahadurzada
1.71
Strikes / min
2.91
1.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
63%
Strike defense
49%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
1.32
63%
Takedown defense
62%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.28evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paulo ThiagoSiyar Bahadurzada
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paulo Thiago(9 fights)Siyar Bahadurzada(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.517.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.049.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Paulo Thiago
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Siyar Bahadurzada
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8