Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Payton Talbott won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 28, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPayton Talbott: Well-roundedvsFelipe Lima: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Payton Talbott wins(73.7%)
Actual result: Payton Talbott wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe Lima has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Payton Talbott (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Payton Talbott
Red Corner
VS
Felipe Lima
Blue Corner
+146
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-174
(64%)
27
Age
28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Payton Talbott
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Nick Aguirre · Nov 23W
KOvs Cameron Saaiman · Mar 24W
KOvs Yanis Ghemmouri · Jun 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 25W
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 25Felipe LimaW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Muhammad Naimov · Jun 24W
vs Miles Johns · Dec 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Payton TalbottMetricFelipe Lima
6.62
Strikes / min
2.86
3.41
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
46%
Strike defense
64%
0.78
TDs / 15 min
2.18
77%
Takedown defense
85%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.21Δ 3.26 — meaningful gap-0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Payton TalbottFelipe Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Payton Talbott(6 fights)Felipe Lima(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-6.96.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Payton Talbott
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Felipe Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3