Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Payton Talbott won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 29, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Payton Talbott wins(80.5%)
Actual result: Payton Talbott wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Payton Talbott has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Payton Talbott has 77pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Payton Talbott (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Payton Talbott
Red Corner
VS
Yanis Ghemmouri
Blue Corner
-1750
(95%)
Vegas Odds
+850
(11%)
27
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Payton TalbottW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Nick Aguirre · Nov 23W
KOvs Cameron Saaiman · Mar 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 25W
vs Felipe Lima · Jun 25W
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 25Yanis Ghemmouri
oldest →latest
L
KOvs William Gomis · Sep 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Payton TalbottMetricYanis Ghemmouri
6.62
Strikes / min
2.29
3.41
Strikes absorbed / min
5.14
46%
Strike defense
35%
0.78
TDs / 15 min
0.00
77%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.21Δ 6.06 — meaningful gap-2.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Payton TalbottYanis Ghemmouri
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Payton Talbott(6 fights)Yanis Ghemmouri(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.4-46.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-203.0203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Payton Talbott
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Yanis Ghemmouri
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights2