Welterweight
3 Rounds
Peter Sobotta won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 3, 2016·Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, Germany
Model Prediction: Peter Sobotta wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Peter Sobotta wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Peter Sobotta has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Peter Sobotta (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Peter Sobotta
Red Corner
VS
Nicolas Dalby
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
39
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Peter SobottaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Steve Kennedy · Jun 15L
KOvs Kyle Noke · Nov 15W
KOvs Ben Saunders · May 17L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Mar 18L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 20Nicolas Dalby
oldest →latest
W
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 23W
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 23L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jun 24L
KOvs Randy Brown · Apr 25W
vs Saygid Izagakhmaev · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Peter SobottaMetricNicolas Dalby
2.14
Strikes / min
3.88
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
3.51
58%
Strike defense
52%
1.53
TDs / 15 min
0.90
77%
Takedown defense
59%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.76Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap+0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Peter SobottaNicolas Dalby
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Peter Sobotta(9 fights)Nicolas Dalby(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.215.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+148.0-148.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Peter Sobotta
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9
Nicolas Dalby
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14