Welterweight
3 Rounds
Peter Sobotta won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 31, 2014·Berlin, Germany, Germany
Model Prediction: Peter Sobotta wins(74.9%)
Actual result: Peter Sobotta wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Peter Sobotta (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Peter Sobotta
Red Corner
VS
Pawel Pawlak
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
39
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Peter SobottaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kyle Noke · Nov 15W
vs Nicolas Dalby · Sep 16W
KOvs Ben Saunders · May 17L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Mar 18L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 20Pawel Pawlak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sheldon Westcott · Apr 15L
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Peter SobottaMetricPawel Pawlak
2.14
Strikes / min
1.67
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
2.22
58%
Strike defense
53%
1.53
TDs / 15 min
1.00
77%
Takedown defense
70%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.76evenly matched on net striking-0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Peter SobottaPawel Pawlak
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Peter Sobotta(9 fights)Pawel Pawlak(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.037.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.848.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Peter Sobotta
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9
Pawel Pawlak
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3