Welterweight
3 Rounds
Peter Sobotta won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 20, 2015·Berlin, Berlin, Germany, Germany
Model Prediction: Peter Sobotta wins(63.9%)
Actual result: Peter Sobotta wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Peter Sobotta has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Peter Sobotta has 77pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Peter Sobotta (53.5%).
- Peter Sobotta has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Peter Sobotta
Red Corner
VS
Steve Kennedy
Blue Corner
-370
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
39
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Peter SobottaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kyle Noke · Nov 15W
vs Nicolas Dalby · Sep 16W
KOvs Ben Saunders · May 17L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Mar 18L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 20Steve Kennedy
oldest →latest
L
vs Richard Walsh · Nov 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Peter SobottaMetricSteve Kennedy
2.14
Strikes / min
2.28
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
5.52
58%
Strike defense
45%
1.53
TDs / 15 min
2.51
77%
Takedown defense
0%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.76Δ 2.48 — meaningful gap-3.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Peter SobottaSteve Kennedy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Peter Sobotta(9 fights)Steve Kennedy(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.516.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.748.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Peter Sobotta
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9
Steve Kennedy
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2