Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Aljamain Sterling won · DQ
UFC Event·Saturday, March 6, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPetr Yan: Pressure fightervsAljamain Sterling: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Petr Yan wins(72.0%)
Actual result: Aljamain Sterling wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Petr Yan has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Petr Yan (52.9%).
- Aljamain Sterling has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Petr Yan
Red Corner
VS
Aljamain Sterling
Blue Corner
-122
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+102
(50%)
33
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Petr YanW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Mar 23W
vs Song Yadong · Mar 24W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Nov 24W
vs Marcus McGhee · Jul 25W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 25Aljamain Sterling
oldest →latest
W
vs Henry Cejudo · May 23L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Petr YanMetricAljamain Sterling
5.16
Strikes / min
4.26
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
2.15
59%
Strike defense
59%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
2.54
86%
Takedown defense
44%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.92Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap+2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Petr YanAljamain Sterling
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Petr Yan(10 fights)Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-29.629.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Petr Yan
StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15
Aljamain Sterling
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights22