Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brad Tavares won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 1, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPhil Baroni: Well-roundedvsBrad Tavares: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Phil Baroni wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Tavares has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Brad Tavares has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Phil Baroni
Red Corner
VS
Brad Tavares
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
50
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Phil BaroniNo prior UFC fights on record.
Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Phil BaroniMetricBrad Tavares
2.77
Strikes / min
3.41
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
40%
Strike defense
54%
1.46
TDs / 15 min
0.70
60%
Takedown defense
80%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.16Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Phil BaroniBrad Tavares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Phil Baroni(1 fights)Brad Tavares(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.518.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Phil Baroni
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights1
Brad Tavares
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28