Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Phil Davis won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 20, 2010·Auburn Hills, Michigan, USA, USA
Style matchupPhil Davis: WrestlervsTim Boetsch: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Phil Davis wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Phil Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Phil Davis has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Phil Davis has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Phil Davis
Red Corner
VS
Tim Boetsch
Blue Corner
-485
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+425
(19%)
41
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
200.66 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Phil Davis
oldest →latest
W
vs Vinny Magalhaes · Apr 13W
vs Lyoto Machida · Aug 13L
vs Anthony Johnson · Apr 14W
vs Glover Teixeira · Oct 14L
vs Ryan Bader · Jan 15Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Phil DavisMetricTim Boetsch
2.85
Strikes / min
2.93
1.33
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
72%
Strike defense
57%
2.99
TDs / 15 min
1.45
72%
Takedown defense
59%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.52Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Phil DavisTim Boetsch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Phil Davis(10 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.5-14.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Phil Davis
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11
Tim Boetsch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights20