Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Phil Davis won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2013·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Phil Davis wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Phil Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Phil Davis has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Phil Davis
Red Corner
VS
Vinny Magalhaes
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Phil Davis
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Wagner Prado · Oct 12W
vs Lyoto Machida · Aug 13L
vs Anthony Johnson · Apr 14W
vs Glover Teixeira · Oct 14L
vs Ryan Bader · Jan 15Vinny Magalhaes
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Igor Pokrajac · Sep 12L
KOvs Anthony Perosh · Aug 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Phil DavisMetricVinny Magalhaes
2.85
Strikes / min
2.14
1.33
Strikes absorbed / min
3.97
72%
Strike defense
68%
2.99
TDs / 15 min
1.55
72%
Takedown defense
66%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.52Δ 3.35 — meaningful gap-1.83
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Phil DavisVinny Magalhaes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Phil Davis(10 fights)Vinny Magalhaes(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+38.4-38.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Phil Davis
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11
Vinny Magalhaes
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3