Middleweight
3 Rounds
Chris Curtis won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 6, 2021·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupPhil Hawes: WrestlervsChris Curtis: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Phil Hawes wins(70.8%)
Actual result: Chris Curtis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chris Curtis is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Phil Hawes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Phil Hawes has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Phil Hawes
Red Corner
VS
Chris Curtis
Blue Corner
-335
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
37
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Phil HawesL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kyle Daukaus · May 21W
KOvs Deron Winn · Jun 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Oct 22L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · May 23L
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jan 24Chris Curtis
oldest →latest
W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jan 24L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 25L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Phil HawesMetricChris Curtis
5.33
Strikes / min
5.52
3.72
Strikes absorbed / min
5.75
55%
Strike defense
54%
2.11
TDs / 15 min
0.00
90%
Takedown defense
64%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.61Δ 1.84 — meaningful gap-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Phil HawesChris Curtis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Phil Hawes(7 fights)Chris Curtis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.1-37.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Phil Hawes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7
Chris Curtis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11