Middleweight
3 Rounds
Phil Hawes won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2022·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupPhil Hawes: WrestlervsDeron Winn: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Phil Hawes wins(67.0%)
Actual result: Phil Hawes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Phil Hawes enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Phil Hawes has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Phil Hawes has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Phil Hawes
Red Corner
VS
Deron Winn
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
37
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'6"
195.58 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Phil HawesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kyle Daukaus · May 21L
KOvs Chris Curtis · Nov 21L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Oct 22L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · May 23L
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jan 24Deron Winn
oldest →latest
W
vs Eric Spicely · Jun 19L
vs Darren Stewart · Oct 19L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 20W
vs Antonio Arroyo · Dec 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Phil HawesMetricDeron Winn
5.33
Strikes / min
4.55
3.72
Strikes absorbed / min
6.21
55%
Strike defense
46%
2.11
TDs / 15 min
4.28
90%
Takedown defense
40%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.61Δ 3.27 — meaningful gap-1.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Phil HawesDeron Winn
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Phil Hawes(7 fights)Deron Winn(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.5-20.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-322.0322.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Phil Hawes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7
Deron Winn
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5