Middleweight
3 Rounds
Phil Hawes won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPhil Hawes: WrestlervsKyle Daukaus: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Phil Hawes wins(68.2%)
Actual result: Phil Hawes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Phil Hawes has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Daukaus (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Phil Hawes
Red Corner
VS
Kyle Daukaus
Blue Corner
+132
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-152
(60%)
37
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Phil HawesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chris Curtis · Nov 21W
KOvs Deron Winn · Jun 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Oct 22L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · May 23L
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jan 24Kyle DaukausW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jamie Pickett · Feb 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Jun 22L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 22W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Aug 25W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Phil HawesMetricKyle Daukaus
5.33
Strikes / min
3.32
3.72
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
55%
Strike defense
42%
2.11
TDs / 15 min
2.08
90%
Takedown defense
82%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
2.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.61Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap+0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Phil HawesKyle Daukaus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Phil Hawes(7 fights)Kyle Daukaus(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.4-16.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Phil Hawes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7
Kyle Daukaus
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights8