Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jake Matthews won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 1, 2024·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupPhil Rowe: StrikervsJake Matthews: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Phil Rowe wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Jake Matthews wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Matthews has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Phil Rowe has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Phil Rowe
Red Corner
VS
Jake Matthews
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
35
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
203.2 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Phil RoweL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Niko Price · Dec 22L
vs Neil Magny · Jun 23W
KOvs Ange Loosa · Jun 25L
vs Seokhyeon Ko · Nov 25L
vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · Feb 26Jake Matthews
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Darrius Flowers · Jul 23L
vs Michael Morales · Nov 23W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Phil RoweMetricJake Matthews
3.51
Strikes / min
3.34
4.15
Strikes absorbed / min
2.62
50%
Strike defense
60%
0.46
TDs / 15 min
1.44
53%
Takedown defense
64%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.64Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Phil RoweJake Matthews
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Phil Rowe(8 fights)Jake Matthews(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-22.922.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Phil Rowe
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8
Jake Matthews
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights23