Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 21, 2026·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupPhil Rowe: StrikervsJean-Paul Lebosnoyani: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Phil Rowe has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (52.9%).
- Phil Rowe has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Phil Rowe
Red Corner
VS
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Blue Corner
+172
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-205
(67%)
35
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'3"
Height
5'11"
203.2 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Phil Rowe
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Niko Price · Dec 22L
vs Neil Magny · Jun 23L
vs Jake Matthews · Jun 24W
KOvs Ange Loosa · Jun 25L
vs Seokhyeon Ko · Nov 25Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Phil RoweMetricJean-Paul Lebosnoyani
3.51
Strikes / min
4.77
4.15
Strikes absorbed / min
3.72
50%
Strike defense
53%
0.46
TDs / 15 min
2.79
53%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.64Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Phil RoweJean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Phil Rowe(8 fights)Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.1-21.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Phil Rowe
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights1