Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Philip De Fries won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 4, 2012·Los Angeles, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Philip De Fries wins(62.9%)
Actual result: Philip De Fries wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Philip De Fries enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Philip De Fries threatens submissions; Oli Thompson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Philip De Fries has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Philip De Fries has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Philip De Fries
Red Corner
VS
Oli Thompson
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
40
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Philip De FriesL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rob Broughton · Nov 11L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Feb 12L
KOvs Todd Duffee · Dec 12L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Apr 13Oli Thompson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Mar 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Philip De FriesMetricOli Thompson
2.30
Strikes / min
1.66
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
5.31
37%
Strike defense
46%
3.29
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.70Δ 2.95 — meaningful gap-3.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Philip De FriesOli Thompson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Philip De Fries(5 fights)Oli Thompson(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.5-13.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Philip De Fries
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5
Oli Thompson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2