Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Todd Duffee won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 29, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPhilip De Fries: WrestlervsTodd Duffee: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Philip De Fries wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Todd Duffee wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Todd Duffee is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Philip De Fries has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Todd Duffee has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Philip De Fries
Red Corner
VS
Todd Duffee
Blue Corner
+315
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-345
(78%)
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Philip De Fries
oldest →latest
W
vs Rob Broughton · Nov 11L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Feb 12W
SUBvs Oli Thompson · Aug 12L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Apr 13Todd Duffee
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mike Russow · May 10W
KOvs Anthony Hamilton · Dec 14L
KOvs Frank Mir · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Philip De FriesMetricTodd Duffee
2.30
Strikes / min
5.93
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.87
37%
Strike defense
56%
3.29
TDs / 15 min
0.72
100%
Takedown defense
90%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.70Δ 3.76 — meaningful gap+3.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Philip De FriesTodd Duffee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Philip De Fries(5 fights)Todd Duffee(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.5-26.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-798.0798.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Philip De Fries
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5
Todd Duffee
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights4