Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Philipe Lins enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Maxim Grishin is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Philipe Lins has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Maxim Grishin has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Philipe Lins has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Philipe LinsW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Andrei Arlovski · May 20L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 20W
vs Marcin Prachnio · Apr 22W
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Feb 23W
vs Ion Cutelaba · Mar 24 Maxim Grishin
oldest →L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 20W
KOvs Gadzhimurad Antigulov · Oct 20L
vs Dustin Jacoby · Feb 21W
vs William Knight · Feb 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Philipe LinsMetricMaxim Grishin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.21evenly matched on net striking+0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Philipe LinsMaxim Grishin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Philipe Lins(6 fights)Maxim Grishin(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.7|Blue -14.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -371.0|Blue +371.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Philipe LinsTargetMaxim Grishin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Philipe Lins edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control2:02
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 2Philipe Lins edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control2:40
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Philipe Lins edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control3:42
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
