Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Philipe Lins won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 3, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPhilipe Lins: Well-roundedvsMaxim Grishin: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Philipe Lins wins(66.7%)
Actual result: Philipe Lins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Philipe Lins enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Maxim Grishin is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Philipe Lins has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Maxim Grishin has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Philipe Lins has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Philipe Lins
Red Corner
VS
Maxim Grishin
Blue Corner
+104
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-122
(55%)
40
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Philipe LinsW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · May 20L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 20W
vs Marcin Prachnio · Apr 22W
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Feb 23W
vs Ion Cutelaba · Mar 24Maxim Grishin
oldest →latest
L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 20W
KOvs Gadzhimurad Antigulov · Oct 20L
vs Dustin Jacoby · Feb 21W
vs William Knight · Feb 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Philipe LinsMetricMaxim Grishin
3.80
Strikes / min
3.26
3.59
Strikes absorbed / min
2.27
46%
Strike defense
58%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
0.21
100%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.21evenly matched on net striking+0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Philipe LinsMaxim Grishin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Philipe Lins(6 fights)Maxim Grishin(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.8-6.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-371.0371.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Philipe Lins
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6
Maxim Grishin
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5