Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Piera Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Ariane Carnelossi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Piera Rodriguez has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Piera RodriguezW3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Apr 23W
vs Josefine Knutsson · Dec 24W
vs Ketlen Souza · Aug 25 Ariane CarnelossiL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Istela Nunes · Oct 21L
vs Loopy Godinez · May 22L
SUBvs Talita Alencar · Nov 25L
KOvs Ketlen Souza · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Piera RodriguezMetricAriane Carnelossi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.91Δ 2.89 — meaningful gap-1.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Piera RodriguezAriane Carnelossi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Piera Rodriguez(7 fights)Ariane Carnelossi(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +47.6|Blue -47.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -343.0|Blue +343.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Piera RodriguezTargetAriane Carnelossi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Ariane Carnelossi rounds
Round 1Piera Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control1:22
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Piera Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control2:31
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
