Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Piera Rodriguez won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 2, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPiera Rodriguez: WrestlervsKetlen Souza: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Piera Rodriguez wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Piera Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Piera Rodriguez has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Piera Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Ketlen Souza
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
33
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Piera RodriguezW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sam Hughes · Oct 22L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Apr 23L
vs Ariane Carnelossi · May 24W
vs Josefine Knutsson · Dec 24W
vs Sam Hughes · Mar 26Ketlen Souza
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Karine Silva · Jun 23W
vs Marnic Mann · Apr 24W
SUBvs Yazmin Jauregui · Sep 24L
vs Angela Hill · Feb 25W
vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Piera RodriguezMetricKetlen Souza
4.04
Strikes / min
4.01
3.13
Strikes absorbed / min
3.86
53%
Strike defense
52%
4.04
TDs / 15 min
0.46
81%
Takedown defense
53%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Piera RodriguezKetlen Souza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Piera Rodriguez(7 fights)Ketlen Souza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.0-14.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Piera Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights7
Ketlen Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights6