Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Luana Carolina won · S-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, May 1, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPoliana Botelho: Well-roundedvsLuana Carolina: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Poliana Botelho wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Luana Carolina wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Poliana Botelho
Red Corner
VS
Luana Carolina
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
37
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Poliana BotelhoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Syuri Kondo · May 18L
SUBvs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 18W
vs Lauren Mueller · Apr 19L
vs Gillian Robertson · Oct 20L
SUBvs Karine Silva · Jun 22Luana Carolina
oldest →latest
L
vs Joanne Wood · Mar 23W
vs Ivana Petrovic · Jul 23W
KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 24W
vs Lucie Pudilova · Jul 24L
vs Michelle Montague · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Poliana BotelhoMetricLuana Carolina
2.90
Strikes / min
4.65
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.46
54%
Strike defense
51%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
0.30
76%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap+1.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Poliana BotelhoLuana Carolina
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Poliana Botelho(7 fights)Luana Carolina(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.6-17.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Poliana Botelho
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7
Luana Carolina
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights10