Lightweight
3 Rounds
Polo Reyes won
UFC Event·Saturday, November 5, 2016·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Polo Reyes wins(72.5%)
Actual result: Polo Reyes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Novelli has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Polo Reyes
Red Corner
VS
Jason Novelli
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
31
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Polo Reyes
oldest →latest
W
vs Cesar Arzamendia · Nov 15W
vs Dong Hyun Ma · Jun 16L
vs James Vick · May 17W
vs Matt Frevola · Jan 18L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 19Jason Novelli
oldest →latest
L
KOvs David Teymur · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Polo ReyesMetricJason Novelli
—
Strikes / min
1.73
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
—
Strike defense
66%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.70
—
Takedown defense
100%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Polo ReyesJason Novelli
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Polo Reyes(6 fights)Jason Novelli(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.5-52.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Polo Reyes
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2
Jason Novelli
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights2