Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Iasmin Lucindo won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 12, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Polyana Viana wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Iasmin Lucindo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Iasmin Lucindo has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Polyana Viana
Red Corner
VS
Iasmin Lucindo
Blue Corner
+164
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-198
(66%)
33
Age
24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'3"
170.18 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Polyana VianaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mallory Martin · Feb 21L
vs Tabatha Ricci · May 22W
KOvs Jinh Yu Frey · Nov 22L
KOvs Gillian Robertson · Jan 24L
SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Apr 25Iasmin Lucindo
oldest →latest
W
vs Brogan Walker · Apr 23W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · May 24W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Oct 24L
vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 25W
vs Angela Hill · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Polyana VianaMetricIasmin Lucindo
2.74
Strikes / min
3.22
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
53%
Strike defense
62%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
2.28
35%
Takedown defense
68%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.24evenly matched on net striking+0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Polyana VianaIasmin Lucindo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Polyana Viana(10 fights)Iasmin Lucindo(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Polyana Viana
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11
Iasmin Lucindo
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights7