Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Tabatha Ricci won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 21, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Polyana Viana wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Tabatha Ricci wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Polyana Viana enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tabatha Ricci has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Polyana Viana has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Polyana Viana
Red Corner
VS
Tabatha Ricci
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
33
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'1"
170.18 cm
Reach
154.94 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Polyana VianaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mallory Martin · Feb 21W
KOvs Jinh Yu Frey · Nov 22L
SUBvs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 23L
KOvs Gillian Robertson · Jan 24L
SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Apr 25Tabatha Ricci
oldest →latest
L
vs Loopy Godinez · Nov 23W
vs Tecia Pennington · May 24W
vs Angela Hill · Aug 24L
vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 24W
KOvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Polyana VianaMetricTabatha Ricci
2.74
Strikes / min
4.00
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
4.83
53%
Strike defense
57%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
2.51
35%
Takedown defense
65%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.24Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-0.83
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Polyana VianaTabatha Ricci
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Polyana Viana(10 fights)Tabatha Ricci(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+252.0-252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Polyana Viana
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11
Tabatha Ricci
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach61.0"
Fights11