Middleweight
3 Rounds
Dustin Stoltzfus won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 2, 2023·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Punahele Soriano wins(60.3%)
Actual result: Dustin Stoltzfus wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Punahele Soriano (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Punahele Soriano
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Stoltzfus
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
33
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Punahele SorianoW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 23W
vs Miguel Baeza · Jun 24W
KOvs Uros Medic · Jan 25W
vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Oct 25W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Feb 26Dustin StoltzfusL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Abus Magomedov · Sep 22L
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jun 24W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Nov 24L
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 25L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Punahele SorianoMetricDustin Stoltzfus
4.42
Strikes / min
3.30
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
47%
Strike defense
47%
1.97
TDs / 15 min
2.08
48%
Takedown defense
46%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Punahele SorianoDustin Stoltzfus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Punahele Soriano(10 fights)Dustin Stoltzfus(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+44.9-44.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-133.0133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Punahele Soriano
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11
Dustin Stoltzfus
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10