Welterweight
3 Rounds
Punahele Soriano won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Punahele Soriano wins(68.0%)
Actual result: Punahele Soriano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Punahele Soriano enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Punahele Soriano (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Punahele Soriano
Red Corner
VS
Nikolay Veretennikov
Blue Corner
-405
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+320
(24%)
33
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Punahele SorianoW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 23L
SUBvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Dec 23W
vs Miguel Baeza · Jun 24W
KOvs Uros Medic · Jan 25W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Feb 26Nikolay VeretennikovW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Danny Barlow · Aug 24L
KOvs Austin Vanderford · Feb 25W
vs Francisco Prado · Jul 25W
KOvs Niko Price · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Punahele SorianoMetricNikolay Veretennikov
4.42
Strikes / min
2.69
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.30
47%
Strike defense
45%
1.97
TDs / 15 min
0.42
48%
Takedown defense
62%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Punahele SorianoNikolay Veretennikov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Punahele Soriano(10 fights)Nikolay Veretennikov(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.3-31.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+189.0-189.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Punahele Soriano
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11
Nikolay Veretennikov
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5