Middleweight
3 Rounds
Roman Kopylov won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 14, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Punahele Soriano wins(61.6%)
Actual result: Roman Kopylov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Roman Kopylov has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Punahele Soriano
Red Corner
VS
Roman Kopylov
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
33
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Punahele SorianoW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Dec 23W
vs Miguel Baeza · Jun 24W
KOvs Uros Medic · Jan 25W
vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Oct 25W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Feb 26Roman KopylovL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 24W
vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24W
KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25L
vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Punahele SorianoMetricRoman Kopylov
4.42
Strikes / min
4.54
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
5.08
47%
Strike defense
53%
1.97
TDs / 15 min
1.12
48%
Takedown defense
88%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Punahele SorianoRoman Kopylov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Punahele Soriano(10 fights)Roman Kopylov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.2-34.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Punahele Soriano
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11
Roman Kopylov
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11