Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jesse Ronson (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafa GarciaW2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Oct 24W
KOvs Jared Gordon · Sep 25 Jesse Ronson
oldest →L
vs Michel Prazeres · Sep 13L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 14W
SUBvs Nicolas Dalby · Jul 20L
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Oct 22 Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rafa GarciaJesse Ronson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafa Garcia(10 fights)Jesse Ronson(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +17.6|Blue -17.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -483.0|Blue +483.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage