Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rafa Garcia won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 20, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRafa Garcia: WrestlervsNatan Levy: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Rafa Garcia wins(64.2%)
Actual result: Rafa Garcia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafa Garcia has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Natan Levy (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Rafa Garcia
Red Corner
VS
Natan Levy
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
31
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafa GarciaW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Maheshate · Dec 22W
vs Clay Guida · Apr 23L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Oct 24W
vs Vinc Pichel · Mar 25W
KOvs Jared Gordon · Sep 25Natan Levy
oldest →latest
W
vs Mike Breeden · Apr 22W
vs Genaro Valdez · Dec 22L
SUBvs Mike Davis · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafa GarciaMetricNatan Levy
4.28
Strikes / min
3.70
4.42
Strikes absorbed / min
3.19
61%
Strike defense
58%
3.22
TDs / 15 min
5.03
77%
Takedown defense
41%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.14evenly matched on net striking+0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rafa GarciaNatan Levy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafa Garcia(10 fights)Natan Levy(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-34.934.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Rafa Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Natan Levy
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4