Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rafael Dos Anjos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 11, 2012·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Rafael Dos Anjos wins(54.7%)
Actual result: Rafael Dos Anjos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Dos Anjos (53.5%).
- Anthony Njokuani has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Rafael Dos Anjos
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Njokuani
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
41
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'1"
177.8 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Anthony NjokuaniL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Danny Castillo · Dec 11W
vs John Makdessi · Apr 12W
KOvs Roger Bowling · Apr 13L
vs Vinc Pichel · May 14L
vs Daron Cruickshank · Oct 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafael Dos AnjosMetricAnthony Njokuani
3.48
Strikes / min
3.94
3.23
Strikes absorbed / min
2.41
60%
Strike defense
65%
1.95
TDs / 15 min
0.50
54%
Takedown defense
53%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.25Δ 1.28 — meaningful gap+1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rafael Dos AnjosAnthony Njokuani
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)Anthony Njokuani(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.8-14.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-24.024.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32
Anthony Njokuani
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8