Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rafael Dos Anjos won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 7, 2014·Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Rafael Dos Anjos wins(64.7%)
Actual result: Rafael Dos Anjos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rafael Dos Anjos has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Rafael Dos Anjos
Red Corner
VS
Jason High
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
41
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Jason HighW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Charlie Brenneman · Mar 10L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 13W
SUBvs James Head · Aug 13W
vs Anthony Lapsley · Nov 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafael Dos AnjosMetricJason High
3.48
Strikes / min
1.28
3.23
Strikes absorbed / min
1.56
60%
Strike defense
48%
1.95
TDs / 15 min
2.36
54%
Takedown defense
37%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
2.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.25evenly matched on net striking-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rafael Dos AnjosJason High
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)Jason High(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+67.1-67.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-154.0154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32
Jason High
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5