Welterweight
5 Rounds
Kamaru Usman won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Friday, November 30, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kamaru Usman wins(62.0%)
Actual result: Kamaru Usman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kamaru Usman has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kamaru Usman (54.1%).
- Kamaru Usman has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Rafael Dos Anjos
Red Corner
VS
Kamaru Usman
Blue Corner
+270
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
41
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Kamaru Usman
oldest →latest
W
vs Colby Covington · Nov 21L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Aug 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 23L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 23W
vs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafael Dos AnjosMetricKamaru Usman
3.48
Strikes / min
4.16
3.23
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
60%
Strike defense
55%
1.95
TDs / 15 min
2.79
54%
Takedown defense
89%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.25Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap+1.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rafael Dos AnjosKamaru Usman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)Kamaru Usman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.0-4.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32
Kamaru Usman
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19