Lightweight
5 Rounds
Rafael Fiziev won · KO/TKO R5
UFC Event·Saturday, July 9, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Rafael Fiziev wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Rafael Fiziev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rafael Fiziev has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Fiziev (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Rafael Dos Anjos
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Fiziev
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
41
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Renato Moicano · Mar 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Rafael Fiziev
oldest →latest
L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 23L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Sep 23L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 25W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Jun 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafael Dos AnjosMetricRafael Fiziev
3.48
Strikes / min
4.71
3.23
Strikes absorbed / min
4.84
60%
Strike defense
49%
1.95
TDs / 15 min
0.83
54%
Takedown defense
90%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.25evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rafael Dos AnjosRafael Fiziev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)Rafael Fiziev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+54.7-54.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32
Rafael Fiziev
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12