Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Rafael Dos Anjos won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, March 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Renato Moicano wins(56.8%)
Actual result: Rafael Dos Anjos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Dos Anjos (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Rafael Dos Anjos
Red Corner
VS
Renato Moicano
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
41
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Renato MoicanoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Feb 24W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafael Dos AnjosMetricRenato Moicano
3.48
Strikes / min
4.10
3.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
60%
Strike defense
59%
1.95
TDs / 15 min
1.68
54%
Takedown defense
64%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.25evenly matched on net striking+0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rafael Dos AnjosRenato Moicano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)Renato Moicano(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+54.9-54.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+455.0-455.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32
Renato Moicano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20