Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rafael Fiziev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 21, 2025·Baku, Azerbaijan, Azerbaijan
Style matchupRafael Fiziev: Pressure fightervsIgnacio Bahamondes: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Ignacio Bahamondes wins(51.9%)
Actual result: Rafael Fiziev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Fiziev enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Ignacio Bahamondes is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Rafael Fiziev has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Rafael Fiziev has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Fiziev (52.9%).
- Ignacio Bahamondes has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Rafael Fiziev
Red Corner
VS
Ignacio Bahamondes
Blue Corner
+124
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-144
(59%)
33
Age
28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'3"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafael FizievL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 22L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 23L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Sep 23L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jan 26Ignacio Bahamondes
oldest →latest
L
vs Ludovit Klein · Aug 23W
KOvs Christos Giagos · Apr 24W
KOvs Manuel Torres · Sep 24W
SUBvs Jalin Turner · Mar 25L
vs Tofiq Musayev · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafael FizievMetricIgnacio Bahamondes
4.71
Strikes / min
5.99
4.84
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
49%
Strike defense
55%
0.83
TDs / 15 min
0.00
90%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13Δ 2.05 — meaningful gap+1.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rafael FizievIgnacio Bahamondes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafael Fiziev(10 fights)Ignacio Bahamondes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-25.925.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Rafael Fiziev
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12
Ignacio Bahamondes
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10