Lightweight
5 Rounds
Mateusz Gamrot won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 23, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRafael Fiziev: Pressure fightervsMateusz Gamrot: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Mateusz Gamrot wins(58.5%)
Actual result: Mateusz Gamrot wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mateusz Gamrot has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Fiziev (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Rafael Fiziev
Red Corner
VS
Mateusz Gamrot
Blue Corner
-142
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
33
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafael Fiziev
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 22L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 23L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 25W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Jun 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jan 26Mateusz Gamrot
oldest →latest
W
vs Jalin Turner · Mar 23W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Mar 24L
vs Dan Hooker · Aug 24W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 25L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafael FizievMetricMateusz Gamrot
4.71
Strikes / min
3.21
4.84
Strikes absorbed / min
2.81
49%
Strike defense
60%
0.83
TDs / 15 min
5.22
90%
Takedown defense
83%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rafael FizievMateusz Gamrot
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafael Fiziev(10 fights)Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.3-11.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Rafael Fiziev
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12
Mateusz Gamrot
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12