Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ramiz Brahimaj won · SUB R2
RB
AV
Ramiz BrahimajvsAustin Vanderford
UFC Event · Saturday, October 4, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRamiz Brahimaj: Submission grapplervsAustin Vanderford: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Austin Vanderford wins(59.2%)
Actual result: Ramiz Brahimaj wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Austin Vanderford has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ramiz Brahimaj
Red Corner
VS
Austin Vanderford
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-295
(75%)
33
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ramiz Brahimaj
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Micheal Gillmore · Feb 22L
vs Themba Gorimbo · May 24W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Nov 24W
SUBvs Billy Ray Goff · May 25L
vs Punahele Soriano · Feb 26Austin Vanderford
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ramiz BrahimajMetricAustin Vanderford
2.29
Strikes / min
3.04
3.27
Strikes absorbed / min
2.71
47%
Strike defense
48%
1.99
TDs / 15 min
3.08
44%
Takedown defense
100%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.98Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ramiz BrahimajAustin Vanderford
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ramiz Brahimaj(9 fights)Austin Vanderford(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.9-2.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Ramiz Brahimaj
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9
Austin Vanderford
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2