Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ryan Bader won
UFC Event·Saturday, February 25, 2012·Saitama, Japan, Japan
Model Prediction: Rampage Jackson wins(62.9%)
Actual result: Ryan Bader wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Rampage Jackson
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Bader
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
33
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rampage Jackson
oldest →latest
W
vs Lyoto Machida · Nov 10W
vs Matt Hamill · May 11L
vs Jon Jones · Sep 11L
vs Glover Teixeira · Jan 13W
vs Fabio Maldonado · Apr 15Ryan BaderW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Phil Davis · Jan 15W
vs Rashad Evans · Oct 15L
KOvs Anthony Johnson · Jan 16W
KOvs Ilir Latifi · Sep 16W
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rampage JacksonMetricRyan Bader
—
Strikes / min
2.82
—
Strikes absorbed / min
1.39
—
Strike defense
71%
—
TDs / 15 min
3.37
—
Takedown defense
80%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rampage JacksonRyan Bader
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rampage Jackson(7 fights)Ryan Bader(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.8-2.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Rampage Jackson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights1
Ryan Bader
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16