Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Karolina Kowalkiewicz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 19, 2015·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Randa Markos wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Randa Markos
Red Corner
VS
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Randa Markos
oldest →latest
L
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 20L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Sep 20L
vs Kanako Murata · Nov 20L
vs Luana Pinheiro · May 21W
vs Livinha Souza · Oct 21Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Randa MarkosMetricKarolina Kowalkiewicz
2.97
Strikes / min
5.54
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
5.77
58%
Strike defense
56%
1.12
TDs / 15 min
0.36
52%
Takedown defense
74%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Randa MarkosKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Randa Markos(10 fights)Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.148.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Randa Markos
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights17
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19