Welterweight
3 Rounds
Randy Brown won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRandy Brown: Well-roundedvsFrancisco Trinaldo: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Randy Brown wins(58.8%)
Actual result: Randy Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).
- Randy Brown has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Randy Brown
Red Corner
VS
Francisco Trinaldo
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+270
(27%)
35
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
5'9"
198.12 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Randy Brown
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Feb 24W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24W
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25L
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25Francisco TrinaldoW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs John Makdessi · Mar 20W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Randy BrownMetricFrancisco Trinaldo
4.39
Strikes / min
3.13
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
53%
Strike defense
60%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
0.98
74%
Takedown defense
60%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Randy BrownFrancisco Trinaldo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Randy Brown(10 fights)Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-53.253.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Randy Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21
Francisco Trinaldo
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26