Welterweight
3 Rounds
Michael Graves won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 16, 2016·Tampa, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupRandy Brown: Well-roundedvsMichael Graves: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Michael Graves wins(58.8%)
Actual result: Michael Graves wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Randy Brown has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Randy Brown
Red Corner
VS
Michael Graves
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'10"
198.12 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Randy Brown
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Feb 24W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24W
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25L
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25Michael Graves
oldest →latest
W
vs Vicente Luque · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Randy BrownMetricMichael Graves
4.39
Strikes / min
1.25
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
1.47
53%
Strike defense
58%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
4.80
74%
Takedown defense
66%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Randy BrownMichael Graves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Randy Brown(10 fights)Michael Graves(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.90.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-202.0202.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Randy Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21
Michael Graves
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2