Welterweight
3 Rounds
Randy Brown won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 26, 2025·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupRandy Brown: Well-roundedvsNicolas Dalby: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Randy Brown wins(62.1%)
Actual result: Randy Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Randy Brown has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Randy Brown has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Randy Brown
Red Corner
VS
Nicolas Dalby
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
35
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
198.12 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Randy BrownL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Wellington Turman · Jun 23W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Feb 24W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24L
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25Nicolas Dalby
oldest →latest
W
vs Warlley Alves · Jan 23W
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 23W
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 23L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jun 24W
vs Saygid Izagakhmaev · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Randy BrownMetricNicolas Dalby
4.39
Strikes / min
3.88
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.51
53%
Strike defense
52%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
0.90
74%
Takedown defense
59%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Randy BrownNicolas Dalby
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Randy Brown(10 fights)Nicolas Dalby(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+65.9-65.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-168.0168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Randy Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21
Nicolas Dalby
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14