Welterweight
3 Rounds
Randy Brown won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 24, 2023·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Wellington Turman wins(52.8%)
Actual result: Randy Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Randy Brown has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Randy Brown has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Randy Brown
Red Corner
VS
Wellington Turman
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+196
(34%)
35
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
198.12 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Randy Brown
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Feb 24W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24W
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25L
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25Wellington TurmanL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 21W
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 21W
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Feb 22L
vs Andre Petroski · Nov 22L
SUBvs Jared Gooden · Dec 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Randy BrownMetricWellington Turman
4.39
Strikes / min
3.23
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
4.17
53%
Strike defense
45%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
1.55
74%
Takedown defense
42%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Randy BrownWellington Turman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Randy Brown(10 fights)Wellington Turman(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+102.2-102.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Randy Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21
Wellington Turman
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9