Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Randy Costa won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, October 18, 2019·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupRandy Costa: Pressure fightervsBoston Salmon: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Randy Costa wins(68.8%)
Actual result: Randy Costa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Randy Costa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Randy Costa is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Boston Salmon has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Boston Salmon has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Randy Costa (54.1%).
- Randy Costa has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Randy Costa
Red Corner
VS
Boston Salmon
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
31
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Randy CostaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brandon Davis · Apr 19W
KOvs Journey Newson · Sep 20L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 21L
KOvs Tony Kelley · Dec 21L
SUBvs Guido Cannetti · Oct 22Boston Salmon
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalid Taha · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Randy CostaMetricBoston Salmon
6.53
Strikes / min
4.13
7.58
Strikes absorbed / min
7.75
58%
Strike defense
59%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.05Δ 2.57 — meaningful gap-3.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Randy CostaBoston Salmon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Randy Costa(6 fights)Boston Salmon(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.50.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Randy Costa
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Boston Salmon
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights2