Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Lopez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matthew Lopez has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Lopez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rani YahyaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Ray Rodriguez · Mar 21W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 21L
KOvs Montel Jackson · Apr 23L
KOvs Victor Henry · Apr 24 Matthew LopezL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Mitch Gagnon · Dec 16W
KOvs Johnny Eduardo · Jun 17L
KOvs Raphael Assuncao · Nov 17L
KOvs Alejandro Perez · Apr 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rani YahyaMetricMatthew Lopez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.37evenly matched on net striking-0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rani YahyaMatthew Lopez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rani Yahya(10 fights)Matthew Lopez(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +126.6|Blue -126.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.7|Blue +48.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rani YahyaTargetMatthew Lopez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rani Yahya edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control1:21
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:54Control
Round 2Rani Yahya edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control3:14
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:42Control
Round 3Rani Yahya edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control3:05
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
