Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Rani Yahya won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 13, 2016·Sioux Falls, South Dakota, USA, USA
Style matchupRani Yahya: WrestlervsMatthew Lopez: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Matthew Lopez wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Rani Yahya wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Lopez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matthew Lopez has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Lopez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Rani Yahya
Red Corner
VS
Matthew Lopez
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rani YahyaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricky Simon · Feb 19W
SUBvs Ray Rodriguez · Mar 21W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 21L
KOvs Montel Jackson · Apr 23L
KOvs Victor Henry · Apr 24Matthew LopezL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mitch Gagnon · Dec 16W
KOvs Johnny Eduardo · Jun 17L
KOvs Raphael Assuncao · Nov 17L
KOvs Alejandro Perez · Apr 18L
vs Brad Katona · Dec 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rani YahyaMetricMatthew Lopez
1.71
Strikes / min
3.13
2.08
Strikes absorbed / min
3.73
50%
Strike defense
55%
2.73
TDs / 15 min
3.32
29%
Takedown defense
71%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37evenly matched on net striking-0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Rani YahyaMatthew Lopez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rani Yahya(10 fights)Matthew Lopez(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+54.8-54.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.748.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Rani Yahya
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights19
Matthew Lopez
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6