Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raoni Barcelos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 21, 2019·Busan, South Korea, South Korea
Style matchupRaoni Barcelos: WrestlervsSaid Nurmagomedov: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Raoni Barcelos wins(73.8%)
Actual result: Raoni Barcelos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raoni Barcelos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Raoni Barcelos has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Raoni Barcelos
Red Corner
VS
Said Nurmagomedov
Blue Corner
-151
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+129
(44%)
39
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raoni BarcelosW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kyler Phillips · Aug 23W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24W
vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25W
vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25W
vs Ricky Simon · Nov 25Said NurmagomedovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Dec 22L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Mar 23W
SUBvs Muin Gafurov · Oct 23L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 25L
vs Bryce Mitchell · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raoni BarcelosMetricSaid Nurmagomedov
4.65
Strikes / min
3.08
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
2.05
60%
Strike defense
55%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
0.86
87%
Takedown defense
63%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raoni BarcelosSaid Nurmagomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)Said Nurmagomedov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.0-12.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Raoni Barcelos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14
Said Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11