Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Timur Valiev won · M-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 26, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRaoni Barcelos: WrestlervsTimur Valiev: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Raoni Barcelos wins(71.9%)
Actual result: Timur Valiev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raoni Barcelos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Raoni Barcelos has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Raoni Barcelos has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Raoni Barcelos
Red Corner
VS
Timur Valiev
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raoni BarcelosW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kyler Phillips · Aug 23W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24W
vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25W
vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25W
vs Ricky Simon · Nov 25Timur ValievL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Trevin Jones · Aug 20L
vs Jack Shore · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raoni BarcelosMetricTimur Valiev
4.65
Strikes / min
5.19
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.33
60%
Strike defense
45%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
1.73
87%
Takedown defense
55%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap+1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raoni BarcelosTimur Valiev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)Timur Valiev(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+90.7-90.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Raoni Barcelos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14
Timur Valiev
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3