Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raoni Barcelos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Raoni Barcelos wins(81.5%)
Actual result: Raoni Barcelos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raoni Barcelos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Trevin Jones enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Raoni Barcelos has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Raoni Barcelos has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Trevin Jones (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Raoni Barcelos
Red Corner
VS
Trevin Jones
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
39
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raoni BarcelosW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kyler Phillips · Aug 23W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24W
vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25W
vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25W
vs Ricky Simon · Nov 25Trevin JonesL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Timur Valiev · Aug 20W
KOvs Mario Bautista · Mar 21L
SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Aug 21L
vs Javid Basharat · Mar 22L
vs Cody Garbrandt · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raoni BarcelosMetricTrevin Jones
4.65
Strikes / min
2.13
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
4.29
60%
Strike defense
39%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
0.62
87%
Takedown defense
60%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41Δ 2.57 — meaningful gap-2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raoni BarcelosTrevin Jones
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)Trevin Jones(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+38.1-38.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Raoni Barcelos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14
Trevin Jones
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6