Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raphael Assuncao won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 28, 2017·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupRaphael Assuncao: Well-roundedvsAljamain Sterling: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Raphael Assuncao wins(60.9%)
Actual result: Raphael Assuncao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raphael Assuncao has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aljamain Sterling has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Raphael Assuncao
Red Corner
VS
Aljamain Sterling
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
43
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →latest
L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23Aljamain Sterling
oldest →latest
W
vs Henry Cejudo · May 23L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricAljamain Sterling
3.22
Strikes / min
4.26
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
2.15
66%
Strike defense
59%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
2.54
78%
Takedown defense
44%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap+2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raphael AssuncaoAljamain Sterling
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.6-28.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-41.041.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Raphael Assuncao
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights19
Aljamain Sterling
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights22