Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cody Garbrandt won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 6, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupRaphael Assuncao: Well-roundedvsCody Garbrandt: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Raphael Assuncao wins(56.4%)
Actual result: Cody Garbrandt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Raphael Assuncao
Red Corner
VS
Cody Garbrandt
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
43
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'8"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Marlon Moraes · Feb 19L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23Cody Garbrandt
oldest →latest
W
vs Trevin Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25W
vs Xiao Long · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricCody Garbrandt
3.22
Strikes / min
2.79
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
3.66
66%
Strike defense
58%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
0.85
78%
Takedown defense
81%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Raphael AssuncaoCody Garbrandt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.4-39.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-168.0168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Raphael Assuncao
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights19
Cody Garbrandt
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights17